Posts

America’s Gulf allies face a moment of great peril

If war cannot be avoided, should they take sides?

The start of the Iran war was determined by spying success

But even when assassinations come off, the long-term consequences are unclear

War, succession and the perilous test of two myths abou...

America wagers on collapse; the regime on endurance 

Iran may insist Hizbullah fights on its behalf

But the cost at home for Iran’s proxy in Lebanon will be high

Thousands of Africans are fighting for Russia in Ukraine

African governments are belatedly trying to stop them

Why Ali Khamenei may have welcomed the nature of his death

The ideology of martyrdom could prolong Iran’s regime—and the war

With the supreme leader dead, power in Iran hangs in th...

A dramatic blow to the regime—followed by dangerous uncertainty

Who is Iran’s new leader?

No one knows if he will last

America’s war aims may be diverging from Israel’s

For Binyamin Netanyahu they are, as ever, a question of politics

Israel and America want the Kurds to join the fight in ...

Kurdish militias are weighing a risky bid to redraw their neighbour’s borders

Are there enough missile interceptors?

Shortages in Israel and the Gulf could determine the war’s course

Kenya’s ailing sugar sector is a test case for reform

Low productivity and political corruption bedevil the whole economy

Iran’s defiant regime picks a new supreme leader

The appointment suggests the Revolutionary Guards have the upper hand

Open-source intelligence shuts down

Satellite images of the Middle East are suddenly disappearing

Can America clear the Strait of Hormuz of Iran’s drones...

Escorting convoys of oil tanker with warships may give Iran juicy American targets

Israel sees a chance to destroy Hizbullah at last

Iran’s most powerful proxy, though weakened, is still in the fight

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